Bitcoin’s (BTC) monthly gains have been limited to just 2.2%, but February could mark a bullish shift. Since 2016, the week ending Feb. 21 has recorded the highest median return at 8.4%, with Bitcoin closing higher 60% of the time.
Key takeaways:
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February has delivered a median 7% weekly BTC return historically, outperforming October’s seasonal strength.
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Early-February performance has reliably flagged bearish periods, with 2018, 2022 and 2025 all setting the tone within the first three weeks.
